DDIV’s Sweet 16 Predictions

East Region: Washington, D.C.

1 Duke (31-5)*ACC Champion* vs. 4 Virginia Tech (26-8)

-Friday 9:39 PM CBS

Line: Duke -7.5

-Total: (144.5)

DUKE in Columbia, SC:

  • First Round: 85-62 over (16) N.Dakota State
  • Second Round: 77-76 over (9) UCF

VT in San Jose, CA:

  • First Round: 66-52 over (13) St. Louis
  • Second Round: 67-58 (12) Liberty

Past Meetings:

  • 2/26: 77-72 VT (Duke w/o Zion)

Predicted Outcome in DDIV bracket:

  • 1 Duke over 4 VT

Prediction:

Duke 87

Virginia Tech 69

The Blue Devils nearly fell to Tacko Fall and the UCF Knights on Sunday. Can avenge their regular season loss to Virginia Tech Friday night?

3 LSU (28-6) vs. 2 Michigan State *Big Ten Champion* (30-6)

-Friday 7:09 CBS

-Line: MSU -6

-Total: (148.5)

LSU in Jacksonville, FL:

  • First Round: 79-74 over (14) Yale
  • Second Round: 69-67 over (6) Maryland

MSU in Des Moines, Iowa:

  • First Round: 76-65 over (15) Bradley
  • Second Round: 70-50 over (10) Minnesota

Predicted Outcome in DDIV Bracket:

  • 2 Michigan State over 3 LSU

Prediction:

Michigan State 77

LSU 67

West Region: Anaheim, CA

1 Gonzaga (32-3) vs. 4 Florida State*ACC Runner-Up*(29-7)

-Thursday 7:09 CBS

-Line: Gonzaga -6.5

-Total: (147.5)

Zags in Salt Lake City, UT:

  • First Round: 87-49 over (16) Farleigh Dickinson
  • Second Round: 83-71 over (9) Baylor

FSU in Hartford, CT:

  • First Round: 76-69 over (13) Vermont
  • Second Round: 90-62 over (12) Murray State

Last Season in Sweet 16 in LA, CA:

  • FSU over 4 Zags 75-60

Prediction in DDIV Bracket: FSU over Zags

Prediction:

Gonzaga 66

Florida State 72

3 Texas Tech (28-6) vs. 2 Michigan*Big Ten Runner-Up, Returning National Champion*(30-6)

-Thursday 9:39 CBS

-Line: Michigan -1.5

Total: (126.5)

TTU in Tulsa, OK

  • First Round: 72-57 over (14) Northern Kentucky
  • Second Round: 78-58 over (6) Buffalo

MICH in Des Moines, IA

  • First Round: 74-55 over (15) Montana
  • Second Round: 64-49 over (10) Florida

Points Allowed Per Game

  • Texas Tech: 59.2 (3rd in NCAA)
  • Michigan: 58.2 (2nd in NCAA)

Prediction in DDIV Bracket: 2 Michigan over 3 Texas Tech

Prediction:

Michigan 80

Texas Tech 67

Note: Top Half of DDIV Bracket 100% so far!

South Region: Louisville, KY

1 Virginia (31-3) vs. 12 Oregon *Pac-12 Tournament Champion*(25-12)

Thursday 9:57 TBS

-Line: Virginia -8.5

-Total: (119)

UVA in Columbia, SC:

  • First Round: 71-56 over (16) Gardner-Webb
  • Second Round: 63-51 over (9) Oklahoma

ORE in San Jose, CA:

  • First Round: 72-54 over (5) Wisconsin
  • Second Round: 73-54 over (12) UC-Irvine

Points Allowed Per Game:

  • Virginia: 55.0 (best in NCAA)
  • Oregon: 62.5 (11th in NCAA)

Prediction in DDIV Bracket:

  • 1 Virginia over 12 Oregon

Prediction:

Virginia 47

Oregon 59

Reasons for Changing Pick: My feelings that Virginia will choke are confirmed. A nice win over Oklahoma in the second Round. After seeing #1 overall seed Virginia fall in the first round in 2018 has left a sour taste in my mouth. I feel strongly that this is not a championship team. They deserved the #1 seed in this region, but I never saw them as a faithful final four pick. I see Oregon as a very, talented, experienced, strong squad that is just too hot right now for the VA Cavaliers to overcome in Louisville Thursday night. No one does late night like a Pac-12 Champion. Oregon is my new “Cinderella.” I’m on board. I think Virginia’s path gets cut short one round shorter than I’d initially thought.

3 Purdue (25-9) vs. 2 Tennessee (31-5) *SEC Runner-Up*

-Thursday 7:29 TBS

-Line: Tennessee -1.5

Total: (146.5)

PUR in Hartford, CT:

  • First Round: 61-48 over (14) Old Dominion
  • Second Round: 87-61 over (6) Villanova

TENN in Columbus, OH

  • First Round: 77-70 over (15) Colgate
  • Second Round: 83-77 (OT) over (10) Iowa

Predicted Outcome in DDIV Bracket:

  • 7 Cincinnati over 3 Purdue

Prediction:

Tennessee 74

Purdue 83

Note: 7th-seeded Cincinnati was upset in the first round by 10th seeded Iowa 79-72. Thus, my south region was already busted in the first round. Thankfully, the rest of my bracket has held up pretty well. Cincinnati was a red-hot team coming off an American Athletic Conference championship over the highly-ranked Houston Cougars. I liked that Cincinnati was playing de facto home games all the way to the final 4 in Columbus and Louisville. I chose them to win won I would consider a weak region. Unfortunately for my sake, Iowa proved to be tougher than Cincinnati on Thursday, March 22 in Columbus. Iowa also put up a valiant comeback effort to send Tennessee to overtime in the second round. I feel that Purdue has emerged as the favorite in the region. They look very strong on both ends of the floor. I am also a big Carsen Edwards fan. I would like to see him sniping shots in the NBA one day. Boiler up! I think Purdue wins the South Region.

Midwest Region: Kansas City, MO

1 North Carolina (29-6) vs. 5 Auburn*SEC Champion*(28-9)

Friday 7:29 TBS

-Line: UNC -4.5

-Total (161.5)

UNC is in Columbus, OH:

  • First Round: 88-73 over (16) Iona
  • Second Round: 81-59 (9) Washington

AUB in Salt Lake City, UT:

  • First Round: 78-77 over (12) New Mexico State
  • Second Round: 89-75 over (4) Kansas

Predicted outcome in DDIV Bracket

  • 5 Auburn over 1 UNC

Prediction:

UNC 78

Auburn 84

This pick has been and still is very difficult for me. I am very high on both of these teams. Coming off dominant SEC Tournament performance from the 5th seed, I saw Auburn as a real threat to bust the Midwest bracket. North Carolina is clearly one of the best teams in the country. Upsetting this team is a tall task for everyone. And if Auburn is able to pull it off, it would certainly show that they belonged in the top tier of teams all along. I thought they deserved a 3 or 4 seed. They were disrespected in my mind. But they have answered the call. A stingy New Mexico State team took them to the very wire in round 1. Did this worry me? Not at all. That team seemed to have a ton of heart…and talent too! Many of these mid-major schools in the tournament with lower seeds have had outstanding seasons and are extremely respectable to all top level schools. And Auburn may not have been their sharpest mentally in this game, but their shooting may bail them out of not playing perfect even against UNC. And they survived that scare from the Aggies. Regardless of the fact that they gave them a chance, Auburn lived to see another day. A lot of pressure had to have been let off for the Tigers after being that close to being knocked out in the first round by the WAC tournament champion. They certainly looked loser and more in-sync against Kansas. They have to play better defense against the Tar Heels. And UNC is great, but I think Auburn plays sharp and their shooting prevails in the end.

3 Houston (33-3) vs. 2 Kentucky (29-6)

-Friday 9:59, TBS

-Line: Kentucky -2.5

-Total: (135.5)

UH in Columbus, OH:

  • First Round: 84-55 over (14) Georgia State
  • Second Round: 74-59 over (11) Ohio State

UK in Jacksonville, FL:

  • First Round: 79-44 over (15) Abilene Christian
  • Second Round: 62-56 over (7) Wofford

DDIV Bracket Prediction:

  • 2 Kentucky over 11 Ohio State

Prediction:

Kentucky 58

Houston 66

Reasons for changing pick: Ohio State showed toughness in gritting out a quality tight win over the 6th-seeded Cyclones of Iowa State. I’ve been telling folks they could! I thought they even could beat Houston! But it was clear that Houston was superior and showed how hot they can get from the outside as well. Houston is the real deal and I doubted them. Never was a big fan of Kentucky’s offense. They turn it over too much to beat a team like Houston, or North Carolina, or Auburn. Houston is strong on both ends.

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